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11.
Based on the NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) data, the relationship between the Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) in the North Pacific and the atmospheric circulation anomalies in January 2008 is analyzed in this study. The SSTA mode most correlated with the Geopotential Height anomalies (GHAs) in January 2008 in the North Pacific exhibited a basin-wide horseshoe pattern with a warm center in November 2007. This persistent SSTA pattern would induce positive GHAs in the Aleutian Low area and East Asia and the northward extension of the West Pacific Subtropical High in January 2008 by maximum diabatic heating in the atmosphere over the Kuroshio Oyashio Extension (KOE) area, leading to the occurence of the circumpolar trough-ridge wave train anomaly in January 2008.  相似文献   
12.
A deterministic method for sensitivity analysis is developed and applied to a mathematical model for the simulation of flow in porous media. The method is based on the singular value decomposition (SVD) of the Jacobian matrix of the model. It is a local approach to sensitivity analysis providing a hierarchical classification of the directions in both the input space and of those in the output space reflecting the degree of sensitiveness of the latter to the former. Its low computational cost, in comparison with that of statistical approaches, allows the study of the variability of the results of the sensitivity analysis due to the variations of the input parameters of the model, and thus it can provide a quality criterion for the validity of more classical probabilistic global approaches. For the example treated here, however, this variability is weak, and deterministic and statistical methods yield similar sensitivity results.  相似文献   
13.
刘卫华  魏东平 《地震》2006,26(2):45-53
中国西部的青藏和新疆地区现代构造变形活动非常强烈, 业已证实该区可以进一步划分为塔里木、 阿拉善、 天山、 柴达木和西藏5个活动地块。 利用GPS观测资料得到的中国大陆地壳水平运动的速度场, 借鉴全球板块运动模型的建模方法, 将其视为刚性的地块系统, 反演得到各地块相对欧亚板块运动的欧拉矢量, 进而求得各地块两两之间相对运动的欧拉矢量, 并计算出沿地块边界的相对运动速率。 结果显示, 与地块边界上的地震滑移矢量, 由地质学资料得到的滑移速率, 以及GPS数据本身均有较好的一致性, 从而也说明了将该地区划分为若干活动地块并视为刚性地块的合理性。  相似文献   
14.
中国北方春季沙尘暴频数与北半球500hPa高度场的SVD分析   总被引:10,自引:7,他引:3  
选取1957-2000年中国北方地区春季沙尘暴发生次数资料和北半球500hPa秋、冬、春季的平均高度场资料,对沙尘暴和高度场作SVD分析。结果表明,我国北方春季沙尘暴次数各地具有比较一致的变化趋势,表明可能与大尺度气候背景的变化有联系。变化的最敏感区域为内蒙古中西部地区、新疆西部、青海西部和东北地区。我国北方春季沙尘暴发生次数与同期及前期500hPa高度场有较好的相关关系,前期环流形势对春季沙尘暴频数有一定的指示和预测意义,冬季环流场尤其具有预报指示意义,因为前一年冬季北大西洋涛动对我国春季北方沙尘暴发生次数有影响。  相似文献   
15.
A significant practical problem with the pilot point method is to choose the location of the pilot points. We present a method that is intended to relieve the modeler from much of this responsibility. The basic idea is that a very large number of pilot points are distributed more or less uniformly over the model area. Singular value decomposition (SVD) of the (possibly weighted) sensitivity matrix of the pilot point based model produces eigenvectors of which we pick a small number corresponding to significant eigenvalues. Super parameters are defined as factors through which parameter combinations corresponding to the chosen eigenvectors are multiplied to obtain the pilot point values. The model can thus be transformed from having many-pilot-point parameters to having a few super parameters that can be estimated by nonlinear regression on the basis of the available observations. (This technique can be used for any highly parameterized groundwater model, not only for models parameterized by the pilot point method.)  相似文献   
16.
黄土高原春季降水对青藏高原感热异常的响应   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用1961—2000年黄土高原56站的春季降水和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,采用SVD方法分析了黄土高原春季降水与青藏高原地面感热的关系。结果表明,黄土高原春季降水量与青藏高原地面感热的前两个模态代表了两场间的主要耦合特征,具有高度的时空相关。青藏高原感热对黄土高原降水影响最显著的区域在西部和南部、北部。前期高原感热场的第一、二模态对黄土高原春季干旱的预测具有指示意义。  相似文献   
17.
It is well known that high-leverage observations significantly affect the estimation of parameters. In geodetic literature, mainly redundancy numbers are used for the detection of single high-leverage observations or of single redundant observations. In this paper a further objective method for the detection of groups of important and less important (and thus redundant) observations is developed. In addition, the parameters which are predominantly affected by these groups of observations are identified. This method thus complements other diagnostics tools, such as, e.g., multiple row diagnostics methods as described in statistical literature (see, e.g., Belsley et al. in Regression diagnostics: identifying influential data and sources of collinearity. Wiley, New York, 1980). The method proposed in this paper is based on geometric aspects of adjustment theory and uses the singular value decomposition of the design matrix of an adjustment problem together with cluster analysis methods for regression diagnostics. It can be applied to any geodetic adjustment problem and can be used for the detection of (groups of) observations that significantly affect the estimated parameters or that are of negligible impact. One of the advantages of the proposed method is the improvement of the reliability of observation plans and thus the reduction of the impact of individual observations (and outliers) on the estimated parameters. This is of particular importance for the very long baseline interferometry technique which serves as an application example of the regression diagnostics tool.  相似文献   
18.
连懿  陈圣波  孟治国  张莹  路鹏 《地球学报》2014,35(5):643-647
月球表面的微波辐射亮度温度与月表地质结构和月表物质的物理化学特性相关。为了对月球亮温分布异常区域进行地质分析,文章首先计算嫦娥亮温数据的时角,采用克里金插值的方法得到了不同频率不同时刻中低纬度的微波亮温图。结合奇异值分解(SVD)模型分析了月表亮温变化异常,结果表明风暴洋位置和靠近月海东北部的高地区域等存在亮温变化异常,月海区域(除风暴洋外)为3 GHz和37 GHz两个场的总体相关区域。通过对月球火山分布地区的区域亮温变化进行分析,发现这热异常可能是由于月球火山活动造成的。  相似文献   
19.
Current plate motions   总被引:57,自引:0,他引:57  
  相似文献   
20.
The progress of the studies on the orientation of galaxies in the Local Supercluster (LSC) is reviewed and a summary of recent results is given. Following a brief introduction of the LSC, we describe the results of early studies based on two-dimensional analysis, which were mostly not conclusive. We describe next the three-dimensional analysis, which is used widely today. Difficulties and systematic effects are explained and the importance of selection effects is described. Then, results based on the new method and modern databases are given, which are summarized as follows. When the LSC is seen as a whole, galaxy planes tend to align perpendicular to the LSC plane with lenticulars showing the most pronounced tendency. Projections onto the LSC plane of the spin vectors of Virgo cluster member galaxies, and to some extent, those of the total LSC galaxies, tend to point to the Virgo cluster center. This tendency is more pronounced for lenticulars than for spirals. It is suggested that ‘field’ galaxies, i.e., those which do not belong to groups with more than three members, may be better objects than other galaxies to probe the information at the early epoch of the LSC formation through the analysis of galaxy orientations. Field lenticulars show a pronounced anisotropic distribution of spin vectors in the sense that they lay their spin vectors parallel to the LSC plane while field spirals show an isotropic spin-vector distribution.  相似文献   
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